Tesla shareholders have voted for the questions they need to ask Elon Musk and Tesla’s administration on the upcoming incomes outcomes this week. The questions have one thing in frequent: they’re primarily about failed guarantees.
It ought to be fascinating to see Elon Musk skate round all these questions.
Tesla goes to launch its This autumn 2024 and full-year 2024 monetary outcomes on Wednesday after market shut.
After the discharge of the outcomes, Tesla will maintain a convention name the place it is going to take questions from Wall Road analysts and Tesla shareholders.
The shareholders can vote on the inquiries to be requested on the Say Applied sciences platform.
Right here, I’ve included a listing of probably the most upvoted questions, and I’ve discovered a standard thread: most of them contain failed guarantees.
Unsurprisingly, the primary query is about “unsupervised full self-driving” (FSD). It’s on high of most Tesla shareholders’ minds as CEO Elon Musk himself claims that Tesla is nugatory if it might probably’t ship on self-driving – one thing Musk mentioned would occur by the tip of yearly for the previous 5 years.
Musk’s newest timeline for unsupervised FSD was communicated throughout Tesla’s final earnings when he claimed Tesla would launch “unsupervised FSD in California and Texas round Q2 2025”.
With the timeline approaching quick, shareholders are asking whether or not or not it’s nonetheless taking place:
Is unsupervised FSD nonetheless deliberate to be launched in Texas and California this 12 months? What hurdles nonetheless exist to make this occur?
As we not too long ago reported, the newest knowledge about FSD exhibits that Tesla is at fewer than 500 miles between important disengagement, whereas the pinnacle of the FSD program not too long ago mentioned that unsupervised ought to obtain a disengagement equal to the human collision charge: 1 each 670,000 miles.
It’s additionally potential that Tesla will launch a smaller geo-fenced fleet of self-driving automobiles as an alternative of its broader promised unsupervised self-driving for its buyer fleet. In that case, it could require lesser efficiency, however it could nonetheless want a roughly 50x improve over the present efficiency.
The second most upvoted query is about Optimus:
When will Tesla begin promoting Optimus and worth?
Final 12 months, Musk mentioned that Tesla ought to use its Optimus humanoid robotic extra inside the corporate in 2025 and promote it to 3rd events in 2026.
The following query is about Musk giving fairness entry in his personal firms to Tesla shareholders:
Elon has mentioned publicly that long run shareholders of Tesla could have the power to put money into his different firms. Might you present some readability/coloration as to what that appears like? Brokerage corporations use FIFO so anybody who trades received’t have the true size of time as investor.
That’s one thing that he has been speaking about for years with SpaceX, however he by no means made it occur.
Tesla shareholders are additionally upvoting a query about making FSD switch everlasting:
Are you able to please tie bought FSD to our proprietor accounts vs. locked to the automobile? This may assist us take pleasure in it in any Tesla we drive/purchase and reward us for hanging in so lengthy, a few of us since 2017.
This has been requested a number of instances on Tesla earnings name and Musk has at all times mentioned no. He prefers utilizing a “switch window” as demand triggers relatively than doing the best factor and letting individuals switch the software program bundle that they paid for, however Tesla by no means totally delivers.
I wrote an entire article about this final weekend, explaining how Tesla is doing the flawed factor right here.
The following query is about cheaper Tesla automobiles:
Is there a brand new inexpensive Tesla mannequin coming quickly?
That is one thing Tesla has been promising for years, however Musk has steered Tesla away from it. He canceled Tesla’s deliberate “$25,000 mannequin” – saying that it was ineffective amid self-driving.
Over the previous few years, he had Tesla centered on the Cybertruck and Robotaxi as an alternative.
Extra not too long ago, Tesla needed to course appropriate amid declining gross sales they usually introduced two new cheaper fashions primarily based on Mannequin 3 and Mannequin Y which might be supposed to return within the first half of 2025. That seems to be what the shareholders need an replace on with this query.
Subsequent, they need to know the standing of the Tesla Semi:
What’s the standing on mass manufacturing of the Tesla Semi? How do you undertaking it is going to have an effect on income at scale?
Tesla Semi is considered one of Tesla’s most delayed automobile applications. It was first unveiled in 2017 and it was supposed to enter manufacturing in 2020. It then entered right into a low-volume pilot manufacturing in late 2022, and it’s only now anticipated to enter quantity manufacturing subsequent 12 months.
The beginning of manufacturing on the new manufacturing unit for the electrical truck is anticipated by the tip of 2025.
The following query is about HW3 computer systems:
Is it anticipated that Tesla might want to improve HW3 automobiles and in that case, what’s the timeline and anticipated impression to Tesla’s CapEx?
For nearly a 12 months, we now have been reporting that HW3 computer systems have reached their limits. On the final earnings name, Musk lastly admitted it may be true.
Since then, HW3 automobiles have fallen additional behind HW4 automobiles, however there’s no plan for a retrofit in sight.
The final query requested whether or not Tesla is giving up on the photo voltaic roof:
Has Tesla given up on ramping their photo voltaic roof product?
That’s a good query. Musk as soon as mentioned that Tesla would produce 1,000 new photo voltaic roofs per week by the tip of 2019, however by 2022, our knowledge pointed to about 23 photo voltaic roofs per week.
Tesla has since stopped even reporting its photo voltaic deployment.
Electrek’s Take
I predict that Tesla will double down on Optimus with this earnings name and/or announce or unveil their cheaper automobiles.
Optimus will get lots of flak, however I feel Tesla can remedy humanoid robots earlier than it might probably remedy self-driving. There’s worth in humanoid robots, not practically as a lot as Elon claims, as it’s usually the case, however I feel they are going to begin leaning extra on that to wow traders than self-driving.
The one different issues that meaningfully drive earnings are cheaper automobiles. Tesla beforehand mentioned that these would launch within the first half of 2025 so they’re principally on account of be unveiled. I might count on one thing to be introduced on that entrance.
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