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Monday, November 25, 2024

Volkswagen Group World EV Gross sales Stalled In Q2 2024. What Now?


The Volkswagen Group, which incorporates Volkswagen, Audi, Porsche, Skoda, Seat, Cupra, and extra, reported 2,243,700 international automobile gross sales throughout the second quarter of 2024, a 3.8% decline in comparison with Q2 2023. Additionally, the primary half of the yr was detrimental at 4,348,000, down 0.6%.

The corporate’s all-electric automobile gross sales just lately stalled, which is a worrying signal. In Q2, Volkswagen Group’s EV gross sales amounted to about 180,800, up 0.1% year-over-year. That is about 8.1% of the full quantity, in comparison with 7.7% a yr earlier, however the development is solely as a result of whole gross sales decline.

Volkswagen Group stories challenges

In the course of the first half of the yr, Volkswagen Group’s gross sales decreased year-over-year, each when it comes to whole quantity and EVs. Furthermore, the corporate lowered its revenue forecast for 2024.

Let’s recall that the comparatively weak Q2 follows the decline in EV gross sales in Q1. The corporate mentions a rise in EV orders in Western Europe in H1 to round 170,000 models, up 124% year-over-year, and upcoming new mannequin launches, together with the Volkswagen ID.7 Tourer, Audi Q6 e-tron, and Porsche Macan Electrical. Nevertheless, the scenario stays difficult.

Volkswagen Group BEV gross sales in Q2’2024 (YOY change):

  • Complete: 180,800 (up 0.1%) and eight.1% share

Within the first half of the yr, Volkswagen Group bought about 317,200 all-electric automobiles. That is 1.4% lower than a yr in the past and seven.3% of the full automobile gross sales.

On the identical time, the group bought 136,000 plug-in hybrid automobiles, 17% greater than in H1 2023. New PHEV fashions with extra all-electric vary are anticipated to spice up gross sales within the second half of the yr.

Volkswagen Group BEV gross sales in Q1-Q2’2024 (YOY change):

  • Complete: 317,200 (down 1.4%) and seven.3% share

For reference, in 2023, the group bought greater than 771,000 all-electric automobiles worldwide—35 % greater than in 2022—attaining a brand new document share of 8.3%.

We are actually questioning what the Volkswagen Group can do subsequent. Flat EV gross sales and declining whole outcomes don’t look effectively. It is price noting that Volkswagen no less than delayed the ID.7 launch within the U.S., Audi Q8 e-tron manufacturing is anticipated to finish, whereas the tariffs for China-made EVs in Europe will influence the plan to import the Cupra Tavascan (one other cousin of the ID.4) from China.

Europe stays Volkswagen Group’s largest EV market, accounting for greater than 60% of all gross sales, however in Q2, the quantity decreased by nearly 8% yr over yr.

Quite the opposite, gross sales elevated by 21% in China to 49,600. Within the U.S., gross sales decreased by almost 15% to 12,000.

BEV gross sales in Q2’2024 (YOY change):

  • Europe: 109,700 (down 7.7%) and 60.7% share
  • U.S.: 12,000 (down 14.5%)
  • China: 49,600 (up 21%)
  • Remainder of the world: 9,500 (up 41.2%)
  • Complete: 180,800 (up 0.1%)

Concerning all-electric automobile gross sales, the Volkswagen model was the biggest one with 100,300 models bought in Q2, however solely a slight gross sales improve of almost 6%. Porsche and Skoda had been down by 48% and 18% respectively, whereas Audi famous a 0.1% decline.

Gross sales in Q2’2024 (YOY change):

  • Volkswagen (vehicles): 100,300 (up 6%)
  • Audi: 41,000 (down 0.1%)
  • Skoda: 15,500 (down 18%)
  • Volkswagen Industrial Autos: 7,600 (up 11%)
  • Seat/Cupra: 11,300 (up 17%)
  • Porsche: *4,602 (down 48%)
  • different (MAN, Volkswagen Truck & Bus, Scania, Navistar): 290 (down about 27%)
  • Complete: 180,800 (up 0.1%)
    * information from Porsche; different outcomes rounded to 100

When it comes to fashions, with none shock, the Volkswagen ID.4 (counted by the producer along with the ID.5 coupe model) and the Volkswagen ID.3 continued to be the best-selling fashions throughout the group.

Choose EV mannequin gross sales (for which information can be found) in Q1-Q2’2024:

  • Volkswagen ID.4/ID.5 – 86,800
  • Volkswagen ID.3 – 66,200
  • Audi This autumn e-tron (incl. Sportback) – 52,100
  • Skoda Enyaq iV (incl. Coupé) – 29,400
  • Cupra Born – 18,200
  • Audi Q8 e-tron (incl. Sportback) – 17,900
  • Volkswagen ID. Buzz (incl. Cargo) – 14,600
  • Porsche Taycan (all variations) – *8,838
    different fashions – about 23,162
  • Complete: 317,200 (down 1.4%)
    * information from Porsche; different outcomes rounded to 100

A few of the fashions are very related and provided by totally different manufacturers. We will distinguish two most important teams, which have a dominant share within the general outcome when counted collectively:

  • MEB-based hatchbacks: 84,400 (27% of all BEVs)
    Volkswagen ID.3 and Cupra Born
  • MEB-based crossover/SUVs: 168,300 (53% of all BEVs)
    Volkswagen ID.4/ID.5, Audi This autumn e-tron (incl. Sportback) and Skoda Enyaq iV (incl. Coupé)
  • all different fashions mixed: 64,500 (20% of all BEVs)

In different phrases, simply 20% of the group’s EVs aren’t clones of the ID.3 or ID.4.

In 2024, the Volkswagen Group intends to launch a number of new all-electric fashions, together with the Volkswagen ID.7 Tourer (an property model of the ID.7) and the Volkswagen ID. Buzz with an extended wheelbase (LWB), Cupra Tavascan (one other cousin of the ID.4), and the 2 first fashions based mostly on the all-new Premium Platform Electrical (PPE) system: the Audi Q6 e-tron and the Porsche e-Macan.

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