Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 won’t assist full self-driving and that he doesn’t really know what it would take.
Tens of millions of Tesla autos are outfitted with HW3 computer systems.
For the higher a part of the 12 months, now we have been reporting that Tesla can’t obtain its promise of “full self-driving on HW3, and it wants to return clear about it.
CEO Elon Musk lastly took a primary step in that path through the convention name following the discharge of Tesla’s Q3 2024 monetary outcomes.
The CEO mentioned when requested about Tesla reaching its promised unsupervised self-driving on HW3 autos:
We aren’t 100% certain. HW4 has a number of occasions the aptitude of HW3. It’s simpler to get issues to work on HW4 and it takes plenty of efforts to squeeze that into HW3. There’s some likelihood that HW3 doesn’t obtain the protection degree that permits for unsupervised FSD.
That is the primary time that Musk admitted that HW3 might probably not assist unsupervised self-driving.
Nonetheless, as we beforehand reported, Tesla is at present utilizing each NN nodes on HW3 regardless that one was initially meant as redundancy, which you must obtain Tesla’s promised degree 4-5 autonomy.
This makes it nearly unattainable for Tesla to ship on its promise as Tesla would want to maintain creating software program to unravel self-driving, which continues to be removed from conducting, after which not solely have it on HW3, however optimize it sufficient to suit on a single node.
He mentioned that Tesla would provide a pc improve if Tesla came upon for certain that it couldn’t ship on HW3:
If that seems to be the case, we are going to improve those that purchased HW3 FSD free of charge. And now we have designed the system to be upgradable.
Whereas the system is certainly “upgradable”, as Musk himself beforehand acknowledged, HW3 can’t be upgraded to HW4 because it at present exist.
He mentioned it wouldn’t make sense, and he’s proper. We all know that HW4 makes use of totally different energy and digicam harnesses. The entire pc can be a distinct kind issue that will make it onerous to suit the place the HW3 is put in.
Tesla would want to design a brand new model of the HW4 that may be retrofitted into HW3 vehicles.
Musk insists that HW3 cameras are “succesful”, regardless that HW4 cameras have about 5x extra megapixels, which might level to him seeing the compute energy as the larger difficulty.
Electrek’s Take
I feel the extra crucial remark is that this:
“We don’t really know the reply to that.”
Once more, I’d enterprise to say that this isn’t true. They know the reply and the reply is not any for the explanations acknowledged above, however even when that was an correct assertion, it must be worrying.
Elon admits that he, or Tesla actually, doesn’t know exactly what it takes to get to full autonomy. That must be clear to anybody who has been following his feedback on it for years. He mentioned yearly for the final 5 years that Tesla would remedy autonomy by the tip of the 12 months.
Now, he’s assured that this may occur subsequent 12 months, and we must always imagine him. Why?
The details are that Tesla was incorrect about the truth that HW2.5 is able to self-driving. It was incorrect about HW3 being able to self-driving, and it is extremely seemingly incorrect about HW4 being able to self-driving. On the very least, it gained’t know for certain till it solves it.
If that’s the case, why is Tesla promoting the “Full Self-Driving” bundle and saying it would occur subsequent 12 months?
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